NFL Opening Line Report: Favorites For Week 3

Which teams are favorites in the NFL this week? Here’s our opening line report for Week 3 (2018), including some fun factoids and betting tidbits.

Week 3 Opening Line Report

Jets at Browns (-3)

Opening Line: -3.5

The Browns are betting favorites in Cleveland for the first time since Week 14 of 2015—pre Hue Jackson days. They are they are 11-15 SU and 8-17-1 ATS under these betting conditions over the last 10 years. Amazingly, this does not factor into Cleveland’s current 1-33-1 SU and 11-24 ATS run. Woof.

Colts at Eagles (-6.5)

Opening Line: -6

Philly is on a crazy 14-5 ATS run at home since the start of 2016. The defense yields a paltry 13.5 points per game. It will likely be a frustrating afternoon for Indy QB Andrew Luck.

Bengals at Panthers (-3)

Opening Line: -3

In case you are wondering, Carolina QB Cam Newton is 13-5 SU and ATS as a short-priced favorite of a field goal or less at Bank of America Stadium in his career.

Titans at Jaguars (-6.5)

Opening Line: -6.5

The line has yet to hit Vegas sportsbooks with Tennessee QB Marcus Mariota and Jacksonville RB Leonard Fournette questionable for the matchup.

Saints at Falcons (-3)

Opening Line: -4

New Orleans is 18-9-1 ATS (66.7 percent) all-time as a road underdog against NFC South rivals. Most games morph into a defensive or error-prone affair, the UNDER going 20-7-1 overall.

Broncos at Ravens (-5)

Opening Line: -3

Upset alert! Baltimore is just 6-8 SU and 3-11 ATS since Oct. 2014 when kicking off a favorite with a line in-between a field goal and a touchdown.

Giants at Texans (-6)

Opening Line: -3.5

The Giants average 14.2 points per game as road underdogs since the start of the 2016. No, really.

Raiders at Dolphins (-3)

Opening Line: -3

The Raiders offense is just as bad as the G-Men under similar conditions. Oakland posts 15.5 points per game in its last 11 road contests as underdogs.

Packers (-3) at Redskins

Opening Line: -2.5

Take the NFC North out of the equation, and Aaron Rodgers is just 15-12 SU and 11-16 ATS as road chalk as an NFL starter, failing to cover four of his last five.

Bills at Vikings (-16.5)

Opening Line: -16.5

Since 1989, only five other teams have kicked off favored by 16.5 points or more through the first three weeks of the regular season. They are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS.

49ers at Chiefs (-6.5)

Opening Line: -4.5

The biggest eye-opener in the opening line report is the 56 total dangling across most bet shops. Only two other games (both in 2004) at Arrowhead have kicked off with a higher number (57, 59). Both cashed the OVER.

Chargers at Rams (-7)

Opening Line: -7

Wade Phillips’ Rams defense yielded 15.0 points per game in seven as home chalk last season. Good luck Mr. Rivers.

Bears (-6) at Cardinals

Opening Line: -4.5

One has to go back to 2012 to uncover the last time the Bears laid more than a field goal for a road test. For what it’s worth, Chicago is 12-0 SU and 9-2-1 ATS since October 2006 under these betting conditions.

Cowboys at Seahawks (-1)

Opening Line: -3

Road teams kicking off with a line in-between field goals are 2-6 SU and ATS to begin 2018.

Patriots (-6.5) at Lions

Opening Line: -7

Lions QB Matt Stafford is 3-15 SU and 6-12 ATS as a home underdog. Against opponents that won 10 games or more the prior season, the record slumps to 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS.

Steelers (-1) at Buccaneers

Opening Line: -3

Ben Roethlisberger leads the Steelers offense to just 14.8 points per game in road tilts against teams with a losing record the prior season and a line within field goals. The UNDER has hit in 12 of 13 contests.