MLB Best Bet: Giants Aim for Series Sweep at Dodgers Wednesday

Giants at Dodgers (-182)

Opening Line: -177, Los Angeles
Opening Total: 8 (-120)
First Pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET

Pitchers: Derek Holland (6-8, 3.97 ERA) vs. Hyun-Jin Ryu

The Giants are seeking their first three-game series sweep at Dodger Stadium since September 2013. Los Angeles’ bullpen is in utter disarray after losing Kenley Jansen to a heart condition for at least the next four weeks. It has sustained a string of late-inning collapses, dropping their last three in which L.A. held a lead after the first five innings (August 10, 11, and 13). This includes a 5-2 loss behind ace Clayton Kershaw in the Giants opener. Tuesday night, the pen allowed a ninth-inning run leading to L.A.’s fifth-straight loss.

Starter Breakdown

Dodgers skipper Dave Roberts is hoping lefty Hyun Jin Ryu can work deep into Wednesday night’s contest. It’s Ryu’s first start since May 2. He spent three months on the DL rehabbing a left groin injury. The southpaw holds the current Giants lineup to a .278 batting average and .746 OPS collectively. Ryu owns a 2.12 ERA in six starts.

Veteran soft-tosser Derek Holland takes the pill for San Fran. The left-hander is 1-1 with a 3.20 ERA in his last seven starts, picking up five no-decisions. Holland hasn’t worked a quality start in three straight outings after piecing together four in his previous five starts. The Dodgers current roster owns a .241 batting average and .737 OPS against.

Holland has struggled in his career against high-scoring lineups like the Dodgers. L.A. drives in 4.65 per tilt, 10th most in the majors. The longtime Rangers arm surrenders 4.83 runs per game against lineups scoring between 4.15 and 5.15 runs per game in his career. The number remains consistent at 4.81 in road games.

Hyun Jin Ryu, meanwhile, allows 2.98 to cross the plate versus teams posting 3.54 to 4.54 runs per game. The Giants rank 24th in the bigs with 4.04 runs per contest.

Hitting Breakdown

Both teams struggle against southpaws this season. The Giants score 3.51 runs per game against left-handed starters. The total dips to 3.23 against those sporting a sub-4.45 ERA, the current MLB average for runs. San Fran is 11-19 SU, losing 22.8 percent of one’s investment at +115.1 odds in this situation. L.A. puts across 3.77 runs per game in 44 matchups against southpaws, the average dipping slightly to 3.54 against starters entering with a 4.45 ERA or less.

Best Bets: UNDER 8 (-105)

The Dodgers are just 24-24 SU as home favorites against winning teams in the last calendar year, this includes a 3-1 loss in Ryu’s lone outing against the Diamondbacks last September. Fading L.A. has netted a 28.4 percent return at +157 average odds. Holland has kept the Giants competitive all season, even when projected to lose. He allows 3.33 runs per game as an underdog, the team going 6-9 overall in his starts. The bullpen lost five in late innings. San Fran has dropped just four of 15 by more than a run in this spot. The Giants keep it low scoring and test the L.A. bullpen once again. It is tempting to back the Giants at a price, but tough to envision the Dodgers being swept by their heated rivals here.